Most Improved: Women’s Distance

As before, we’re looking at the change in the average of a skier’s best five distance races (by FIS points) from the ’08-’09 to the ’09-’10 season.  You must have raced in at least five major international events (WC, WSC, or OWG) to be considered.

Here’s the table of the ten most improved women:

Change in average of best five distance races for each season.

NameChange'08-'09'09-'10
BRODIN Hanna-76.9139.562.6
MACIUSZEK Paulina-76.6150.874.3
KOLOMINA Elena-44.58641.5
NYVLTOVA Eva-38.489.551.1
ILIANA Natalja-32.484.852.4
MALAHOVA-SHISHKINA Svetlana-28.454.526.1
JANECKOVA Ivana-25.869.143.3
WATSON Aimee-21.4172.3150.9
VASILJONOK Olga-21.181.160
BRUN-LIE Celine-19.358.238.9

Not so many medium speed women improving to super fast on this list, as we saw with the men.  Still, Hanna Brodin is a seriously talented skier, with quite a few impressive performances at World Juniors recently.  I believe she’s more of a sprint specialist, though.  Congrats all the same, Hanna!  Keep up the good work!

Elena Kolomina, hailing from Kazakhstan, has been around quite a while (~1998 I believe) so her presence on this list is interesting.  It turns out that she’s had one absolutely stupendous race this past season, placing 2nd (0.07 FIS points) in the 10k classic mass start portion of the Tour de Ski in Italy.  But the rest of her races, stretching back to the late 90’s have basically all been at ~50 points or higher.

Czech skier Eva Nyvltova appears for exactly the same reason, in fact.  She nabbed 3.08 FIS points from the exact same race by finishing 8th.  Scanning the results, that must have been a slow race, as the top 30 all finished within around 35 seconds.

What about Svetlana Malahova-Shishkina?  Well, she’s a bit older (~33) and, well, would you look at that?!  She was at that 10k classic mass start as well.

Hmmm.

Let’s redo this but toss this apparently unusual race:

Most improved women without a truly bizarre Tour de Ski 10k classic mass start race in which the top 30 finished within ~35 seconds of each other.
NameChange'08-'09'09-'10
BRODIN Hanna-76.9139.562.6
MACIUSZEK Paulina-76.6150.874.3
KOLOMINA Elena-28.38657.7
WATSON Aimee-21.4172.3150.9
BRUN-LIE Celine-19.358.238.9
HAAG (HANSSON) Anna-19.228.99.7
ILIANA Natalja-19.284.865.6
KOROSTELEVA Natalia-18.936.918
NYVLTOVA Eva-18.589.571
MALAHOVA-SHISHKINA Svetlana-18.254.536.3

Ok, so it turns out Kolomina (and Nyvltova and Malahova-Shishkina) did have a better season this year, but maybe not that much better.  Ben Sim’s teammate from Australia, Aimee Watson, looks better in this table, although she started out quite a ways back relative to these other skiers.  We’re also seeing the appearance of some genuinely faster skiers now: Anna Haag and Natalia Korosteleva.

Also, I should note that Morgan Arritola just missed out on appearing in this table, with a change of -18.1.  Way to go Morgan!

Here’s a graph of the distance results for each of these ten women, without that weird Tour de Ski result (click through for a larger version):

I’ve omitted some of the trend lines where the skiers are very young, so there’s very little data.  Again, there’s a huge variety in how you can come by a year-to-year improvement.

Related posts:

  1. How Well Prepared Are World Cup Rookies? (Part 1a: Distance)
  2. How Well Prepared Are World Cup Rookies? (Part 1b: Distance)
  3. Most Improved: Men’s Distance
  4. Trends In US Skiing Performance: Distance
  5. Variability In World Cup Ski Racers

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Comments

7 Responses to “Most Improved: Women’s Distance”
  1. Nat says:

    Was that Tour de Ski race the one that was all down hill? That would explain it…
    Also, from firsthand experience at WJC’s, Brodin is legit–and her legs are as big as my chest…

    • Joran says:

      Might have been…here’s the link:Race

    • Brayt says:

      The all downhill race was Stage 5. The one in question just happened to be the last stage before the final hill climb. Maybe nobody felt like working.

      3×3.3km with just under 400m of climbing. That’s not flat. That’s a race course.

      Of course, this doesn’t explain the result at all…

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  1. […] far less cheery topic than skier improvement is, well, the opposite.  Lacking a better term, I’m sticking with “unimproved”. […]

  2. […] looks very fast is slightly deceptive.  That was a 10k mass start classic race that we’ve discussed before that resulted in an extremely bunched finish.  Renner got around 5 FIS points for a 14th […]

  3. […] made the biggest jumps forward (or back) between the 2008-2009 and 2009-2010 seasons: here, here, here and […]

    [WORDPRESS HASHCASH] The comment’s actual post text did not contain your blog url (http://www.statisticalskier.com/2010/06/most-improved-womens-distance) and so is spam.

  4. […] an example, consider my posts looking at season to season improvements by individual skiers in distance events.  You’ll notice I haven’t given […]



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