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Most Unimproved Men: Distance

A far less cheery topic than skier improvement is, well, the opposite.  Lacking a better term, I’m sticking with “unimproved”.  That’s not technically accurate, since I’m actually looking at skiers who went considerably slower year to year.  But I feel bad enough pointing out trends like these, no need to add gratuitously insulting terminology to injury.

You know the drill by now: these skiers had the biggest drop off in FIS points in their five best races between the ’08-’09 and ’09-’10 seasons.  Here’s the table:

[table id=10] Continue reading ›

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Most Improved: Women’s Distance

As before, we’re looking at the change in the average of a skier’s best five distance races (by FIS points) from the ’08-’09 to the ’09-’10 season.  You must have raced in at least five major international events (WC, WSC, or OWG) to be considered.

Here’s the table of the ten most improved women:

[table id =8] Continue reading ›

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? vs ?: You Decide

Last week I posted a short item looking at how Bjoern Daehlie and Vladimir Smirnov fared against each other, head to head.  Here’s a little reminder of the sort of fun this entails:

I don’t know about you, but I thought that was pretty fun, so I figured I’d do some more.

But who?  That’s where you come in!  There’s a poll up in the right sidebar.  Vote for the pair you want to see face off in a statistical grudge match.  The poll will remain open for a week…

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Head-to-Head

Ranking athletes based on FIS points, or some other measure, is relatively easy.  Sometimes rankings are fun, because they give sports nuts something to argue about.  Sometimes, however, things devolve into annoying arguments about the specific measure you’re using to rank the athletes with.

Any such measure has flaws, and FIS points are no different.  So if we want to compare two athletes, what’s the gold standard metric to use?  The most unequivocal measure is simply their head to head results.  That’s easy enough to do if you only want to compare two skiers at a time, but what if we wanted to think bigger? Continue reading ›

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Most Improved: Men’s Distance

A lot of the stuff I’ve done so far on this site looks at data over fairly long periods of time.  Let’s switch things up and look only at the previous two World Cup seasons.  Awards for most improved skiers have a special place in my heart due to my own skiing career, which had some major swings in it as well.  In this post I’m going to take a moment and point out some skiers who had dramatically better seasons in ’09-’10 than in ’08-’09.

First we’ll look just at men’s distance skiing.  There are tons of different ways you could define “most improved” depending on what interests you.  I’d like to focus on skiers who’ve done a minimum number of major (WC, WSC or OWG) distance races in each of the past two season (five, in this case).  I’m going to look at the change in the average of a skier’s best five distance races (measured by FIS points) from the ’08-’09 season to the ’09-’10. Continue reading ›

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Week In Review: Friday, June 11th

A recap of what’s been going on here at StatisticalSkier.com this past week:

– I finished up a four part series examining rookie performances on the World Cup scene by tackling sprinting.  (Distance racing was covered last week.)

– I updated the athlete ranking graphs, adding several more years and changing the color scheme slightly so that North American skiers are easily identifiable.

– I unveiled equivalent ranking graphs for biathlon.

– I tackled the timeless question: Daehlie vs. Smirnov.

– I introduced the (perhaps silly) concept of skiers as Gadflies and Punching Bags.

– Finally, I looked back at the long and exemplary career of Italian skier Sabina Valbusa.

Have a great weekend!

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Career Retrospective: Sabina Valbusa

Continuing with our look at retiring skiers…

Italian veteran Sabina Valbusa is hanging up the skis.  Skiing runs in her family: she is the younger sister of Fulvio Valbusa.  Not only that, she’s been racing for quite some time now:  I have results for her dating from 1993 up to 2010.

The five time Olympian has four Olympic medals, all in relays (3 bronze, 1 silver).  In addition, Valbusa found herself on the podium ten times in various World Cup races, 3 times in sprints and 7 in distance events.  She had one victory in a 15km freestyle race in 2004 in Italy.

Let’s have a look at her distance results:

Sabina Valbusa's distance results.

That’s about as classic a development pattern as you can get.  Steady improvement, peak for a few years and then tail off a bit, but still in the mix every now and then.  Her best season overall might have been 2002-2003, but her best World Cup results, including the win I mentioned above, came a year later. Continue reading ›

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