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- How Well Prepared Are World Cup Rookies? (Part 1a: Distance) 2 views
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February 2013
Davos Seeding
I posted these a while back, but since the Davos races are just around the corner, I thought I’d put them up again so we can see just how wrong I am! Basically, I came up with a way to try to develop a somewhat more sophisticated “seeding” that takes into account the specific event […]
Tagged Davos, men, predictions, seeding, women, World CupPatience Is Not A Virtue
I’m going to do something stupid in this post. I’m going to disagree with someone who has likely forgotten more about the sport of XC skiing than I will ever know. It’s World Championship team selection time, and in North America that pretty reliably means some drama from the peanut gallery, represented here by the […]
Tagged Age, Analysis, development, rants, World CupDavos Classic Sprint Field Handicap
I got some positive feedback about my tentative handicapping of the field for one of the WSC events, so I thought I’d sink some more time in it. I went back and changed the modeling technique rather dramatically to make it more flexible (and hopefully more accurate). But the basic idea is the same. In […]
Tagged classic, Davos, men, seeding, Sprint, women, World CupHandicapping WSC 10/15km Freestyle
I haven’t had as much time to pour into longer projects for posts this winter, so I really just slapped this together very quickly. I won’t get into too many of the technical details, but basically this is the result of a simple model that looks at people’s results given the length, technique and type […]
Tagged Distance, freestyle, men, wild speculation, women, WSC